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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (2009–318, n=2327) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) |
| Consensus PnL | $232K | $11.2M | $3.3M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #429 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #147 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 62% (208 of 336 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | MMA −1 pts, n=23 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 1982 at avg 81¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 8% of 191) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 46% of 94) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 68% of 164) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 77% (won 98% of 1533) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $117 | — | Under $720 | — |