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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (2003–317, n=2320) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13346–14851, n=28197) |
| Consensus PnL | $231K | $11.2M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #429 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 56% (22 of 39 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (16 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MMA ±0 pts, n=24 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 2004 at avg 81¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 8% of 194) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 45% of 95) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 69% of 166) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 77% (won 98% of 1549) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $117 | — | — | Under $20 |