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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (2038–325, n=2363) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $230K | $7.9M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #781 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 82% (27 of 33 open) | 69% (59 of 86 open) | 62% (28 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MMA −1 pts, n=23 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 2013 at avg 81¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 8% of 194) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 45% of 95) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 67% of 166) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 77% (won 98% of 1558) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $117 | — | — | Under $20 |