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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-177353152073100gringo00RN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)33% (830–1722, n=2552)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$223K$3.5M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #746was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicMentions −15 pts, n=47——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won49% of 1804 at avg 37¢, ROI +11%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 23% of 625)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 56% of 682)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 73% of 482)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 93% of 15)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.