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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xNuttawutBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (1114–1049, n=2163)45% (573–710, n=1283)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL-$70K$7.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #794PM monthly #3PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)62% (18 of 29 open)53% (17 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +3 pts n=315, ROI +1%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=127, ROI +9%
  • NHL +8 pts n=60, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=926——
Settled positions, side won51% of 2238 at avg 52¢, ROI −1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 3)11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 47% of 859)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 53% of 1289)35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 75% of 87)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xNuttawutBreakTheBankRN1
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
Lucrezia Stefanini $3.8K—Lucrezia Stefanini $6.9K