Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3706–313, n=4019)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL$89K$9.4M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)68% (23 of 34 open)no open consensus position57% (16 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $27——No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1——Over $1.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $55——Alexandra Shubladze $42K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep Sonmez $13——Zeynep Sonmez $38K
Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva
same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva
Ksenia Zaytseva $3——Ksenia Zaytseva $4.4K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $4——Anna Blinkova $2.5K