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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)49% (273–289, n=562)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL-$1.8K$8.4M$1.4M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #934PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)72% (93 of 130 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=453—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won46% of 534 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 16% of 83)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 40% of 211)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 58% of 192)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 79% of 48)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $427K—No $351K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $308K—Yes $12K