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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033BreakTheBankgoogleplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)40% (2–3, n=5)
Consensus PnL—$779K$391K
Tracked asPM monthly #5PM monthly #1PM monthly #15
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • F1 +10 pts n=21, ROI −2%
  • Weather +9 pts n=28, ROI +10%
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
Weakest topicElections −1 pts, n=175——
Settled positions, side won3% of 816 at avg 4¢, ROI 0%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢98% (won 3% of 797)11% (won 69% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 26% of 19)35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢0%37% (won 99% of 124)76% (won 85% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up0%17% (won 100% of 56)6% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.