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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CORGIIsurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)67% (21372–10438, n=31810)61% (398–250, n=648)52% (301–278, n=579)
Consensus PnL$72K$216K-$62K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #96was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position18% (2 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=151, ROI +10%
  • NBA +3 pts n=85, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=75
Settled positions, side won62% of 5249 at avg 59¢, ROI +4%99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 13% of 972)9% (won 92% of 36)21% (won 14% of 123)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 41% of 859)56% (won 99% of 224)23% (won 48% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 68% of 1121)33% (won 100% of 134)32% (won 59% of 193)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 88% of 2297)2% (won 100% of 7)25% (won 81% of 147)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.