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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (21387–10453, n=31840) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 61% (398–250, n=648) | 52% (302–278, n=580) |
| Consensus PnL | $73K | $11.0M | $216K | -$62K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #96 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 68% (78 of 114 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 13% (2 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=75 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 5249 at avg 59¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 13% of 972) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 21% (won 14% of 123) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 41% of 859) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 56% (won 99% of 224) | 23% (won 48% of 136) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 68% of 1121) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 33% (won 100% of 134) | 32% (won 59% of 193) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 88% of 2297) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 25% (won 81% of 147) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.2K | — | No $30K |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $10K | — | Yes $12K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $737 | — | Yes $5.6K |