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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CORGIIbeachboy4surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)63% (194–116, n=310)62% (395–247, n=642)68% (43–20, n=63)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$198$4.5M$5.8M$9.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #948PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus58% (45 of 77 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Weather +4 pts n=47, ROI +4%
  • Tech +18 pts n=13, ROI −12%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won83% of 110 at avg 72¢, ROI −3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 29% of 17)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)—
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 57% of 7)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 85% of 13)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)—
Entries 70¢ and up66% (won 97% of 73)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.