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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | googleplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (4–2, n=6) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 40% (2–3, n=5) |
| Consensus PnL | -$619 | $779K | $245K | $391K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #354 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #18 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (89 of 146 open) | 35% (6 of 17 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=13 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 33 at avg 70¢, ROI −1% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 0% of 7) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 2) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 70% of 10) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 76% (won 85% of 41) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 100% of 23) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | googleplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.8K | — | Trail Blazers $52K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $76 | — | Kings $44K |