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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (15269–13109, n=28378) | no settled market | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $353K | — | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #89 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (346 of 557 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 68% (106 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −1 pts, n=125 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 14654 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 11% of 7732) | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 59% of 1834) | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 89% of 1730) | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 3358) | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | — | No $12 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $82 | — | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $311 | — | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? same side · consensus No | Yes $24 | — | — | Yes $345 |