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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 23% (408–1397, n=1805) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $7.3M | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #530 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (35 of 38 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −4 pts, n=652 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 1598 at avg 36¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 1% of 1022) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 35% of 34) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 53% of 40) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 97% of 502) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.