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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)25% (400–1205, n=1605)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$101K—$11.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #576—PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (32 of 55 open)no open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)65% (105 of 162 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −3 pts, n=470———
Settled positions, side won37% of 1404 at avg 39¢, ROI +3%—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 1% of 832)—10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 35% of 34)—36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 53% of 40)—35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 97% of 498)—19% (won 100% of 109)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.