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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062beachboy4RN1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)35% (140–259, n=399)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL-$25K$5.8M$13.4M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #863was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +39 pts n=33, ROI +55%
  • NBA +18 pts n=62, ROI +10%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=139, ROI +9%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −8 pts, n=47NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won52% of 306 at avg 38¢, ROI +9%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢27% (won 35% of 82)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢60% (won 55% of 185)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 72% of 36)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.