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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe02066958cfd02ee1fc8a4cdb51b56a1ca50f39bBreakTheBankjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (225–206, n=431)41% (589–853, n=1442)45% (10–12, n=22)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL-$34K$7.6M$5.3M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #850PM monthly #2PM monthly #3PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)89% (32 of 36 open)0% (0 of 1 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=418——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won51% of 419 at avg 52¢, ROI −4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 14% of 35)10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 34% of 140)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 62% of 185)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 81% of 59)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe02066958cfd02ee1fc8a4cdb51b56a1ca50f39bBreakTheBankjoseph00677S-Works
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $2.1M—