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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe1666d904d93B2172d2ee0B01a78affAfE058F14-1768421530120ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (991–574, n=1565)50% (15565–15670, n=31235)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)
Consensus PnL—$3.2M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #92PM monthly #139PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (52 of 74 open)58% (66 of 114 open)55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe1666d904d93B2172d2ee0B01a78affAfE058F14-1768421530120ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.6K
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $1.5KWarriors $85
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
——Diletta Cherubini $8Ipek Oz $698
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
opposite sides · consensus Han Shi
——Berfu Cengiz $265Han Shi $177
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Warriors $25Heat $162
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $4—
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
——Harold Mayot $88Harold Mayot $3.2K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
——Katie Swan $581Katie Swan $1.1K
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Ivan Gakhov $204Ivan Gakhov $224
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
same side · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
——Kanon Sawashiro $6Kanon Sawashiro $69