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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xe1C08abF3f7D340682A42811250223393DF7eCF1-1781642316918 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (14–17, n=31) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 54% (203–170, n=373) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $822K | $228K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #848 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 71% (106 of 149 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 11 at avg 43¢, ROI +57% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 100% of 7) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 3) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xe1C08abF3f7D340682A42811250223393DF7eCF1-1781642316918 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Raptors $16K | Celtics $34K | — |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $10K | Pacers $9.3K | — |