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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe4df6f8df7ea953d63fb28272b792ebe41a939d9BreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)100% (3–0, n=3)45% (542–652, n=1194)62% (395–247, n=642)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$19K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)88% (130 of 148 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 65¢, ROI +41%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 2)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.