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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5ghbeachboy4CORGII0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)61% (1164–754, n=1918)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (395–247, n=642)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)
Consensus PnL$23K$5.8M$4.5M$2.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #966was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +10 pts n=786, ROI +11%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won68% of 797 at avg 58¢, ROI +11%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%—
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 107)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)—
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 51% of 123)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)—
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 73% of 271)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)—
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 91% of 296)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5ghbeachboy4CORGII0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $65—Yes $1.3K