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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (378–285, n=663) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$98K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #661 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (19 of 25 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 483 at avg 60¢, ROI +24% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 21% of 24) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 83% of 88) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 94% of 239) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 132) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $503 | — | Yes $28K | — |