Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf5848342fc388908f2d25a9012cc18a0ad193979ndb1primmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)73% (187–69, n=256)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$50K$4.8M$3.6M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #644PM monthly #98PM monthly #52PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)73% (111 of 153 open)50% (2 of 4 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won72% of 221 at avg 68¢, ROI +3%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 8% of 40)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 47% of 19)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 71% of 31)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 95% of 131)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.