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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfd8ff771a52c22a8a29a3156572d9b3e47fd761dbeachboy4joseph00677CORGII
Record (consensus markets)53% (164–144, n=308)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (10–10, n=20)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$5.5K$5.8M$5.3M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979was PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won100% of 143 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 3)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 46)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 100% of 92)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.