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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Bikesarethebestjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.0M—$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #735—PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (22 of 38 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (87 of 152 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢——6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢——65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up——18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Bikesarethebestjoseph00677RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $14K——Casper Ruud $6.6K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $155——Under $4.2K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $3.5K——KKS Lech Poznań $439
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $1.5K
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
FC Twente $578——Páfos FC $32
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $39K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $15K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33K——Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $14K——Bianca Andreescu $5.8K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $240——Under $18K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $7.0K——Max Hans Rehberg $6.6K
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $11K——Under $406
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2K——Under $6.4K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
Federico Coria $2.9K——Federico Coria $3.1K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
Carole Monnet $606——Carole Monnet $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137——GNK Dinamo Zagreb $225
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Lugano
FK Kauno Žalgiris $208——FK Kauno Žalgiris $2