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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankcm2897Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)45% (573–710, n=1283)51% (1421–1344, n=2765)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$9.4M$78K$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #3PM monthly #327PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)85% (29 of 34 open)no open consensus position74% (132 of 178 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——College Football ±0 pts, n=922Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)23% (won 7% of 450)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)26% (won 41% of 508)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)27% (won 61% of 528)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)23% (won 90% of 454)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankcm2897Flaznorp
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154——Yes $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $14K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $6.7K——Alexandra Shubladze $1.2K
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Janakpur Bolts
Janakpur Bolts $8——Janakpur Bolts $4