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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankprimmshineforever
Record (consensus markets)35% (3647–6650, n=10297)45% (576–717, n=1293)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)53% (72–63, n=135)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$3.6M$137K
Tracked asPM monthly #129PM monthly #3PM monthly #51PM monthly #219
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%38% of 123 at avg 36¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)63% (won 4% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)2% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)2% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.