Consensus PnL $120K · win rate 54% (65–56, n=121) · PM monthly #218 · holds 17 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$119.9K
Record
65W / 56L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 121 settled
Batting Avg
87.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1072
Source
PM monthly #218
Record (90 d)
134/197 · 68%
Trades
1,591
Markets
159
Volume
$302.3K
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Top consensus positions
17 in listed consensus markets · 9 of 17 on the consensus side (53%)- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $56K · now 96¢ · in at 39¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $45K · now 94¢ · in at 35¢with the consensus (42% of 28)
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?No $24K · now 96¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (74% of 31)
- Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?Yes $13K · now 95¢ · in at 14¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $12K · now 95¢ · in at 39¢with the consensus (21% of 30)
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $11K · now 96¢ · in at 57¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes $9.6K · now 97¢ · in at 36¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?Yes $3.1K · now 97¢ · in at 44¢with the consensus (41% of 29)
Specialties
104 settled consensus markets · held side won 38% at an average entry of 37¢- Crypto
+9 pts
side won 55% of 20 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +1%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 65% of 26 at an average 65¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI +1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 63%(won 5% of 66)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 0% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 35%(won 100% of 36)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.