Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026DirkDiggler67Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)35% (3637–6660, n=10297)61% (400–258, n=658)52% (6434–5955, n=12389)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$169K$3.3M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #629PM monthly #416PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus89% (8 of 9 open)57% (35 of 61 open)74% (139 of 189 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Esports −23 pts, n=12Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—60% of 681 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—35% (won 13% of 240)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 51% of 70)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—10% (won 82% of 67)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—45% (won 94% of 304)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026DirkDiggler67Flaznorpjoseph00677
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154—Yes $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $14K—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $61—Lumbini Lions $29—
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $32—Afghanistan Under-19s $3—