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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)66% (901–474, n=1375)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M$4.5M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #541PM monthly #21PM monthly #100PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus80% (8 of 10 open)73% (131 of 179 open)72% (109 of 151 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1primm
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154Yes $2.6K——
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura
opposite sides · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Masamichi Imamura $369Yosuke Watanuki $1.9K——
Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat
opposite sides · consensus Brisbane Heat
Brisbane Heat $129Adelaide Strikers $124——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $14K——
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $73Harold Mayot $243——
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Janakpur Bolts
Janakpur Bolts $15Janakpur Bolts $4——