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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026beachboy4rainbowliliesRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3634–6648, n=10282)no settled market43% (2880–3826, n=6706)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)
Consensus PnL$3.0M—$162K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772—PM monthly #570PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (7 of 8 open)no open consensus position29% (53 of 185 open)58% (33 of 57 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • MLB +5 pts n=157, ROI 0%
  • Mentions +2 pts n=678, ROI +2%
  • NBA +2 pts n=374, ROI 0%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=492—
Settled positions, side won——7% of 5559 at avg 5¢, ROI 0%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——96% (won 5% of 5354)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢——2% (won 37% of 105)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢——1% (won 68% of 66)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up——1% (won 85% of 34)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026beachboy4rainbowliliesRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $5.5K——Elena Pridankina $276
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $1.4K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
opposite sides · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $418——Antonia Ruzic $3.1K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $235——Clippers $965
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $963——Clippers $240