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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026blue.birdsFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)36% (2010–3577, n=5587)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$8.7K$3.5M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #462PM monthly #23PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensus67% (28 of 42 open)50% (1 of 2 open)78% (323 of 415 open)74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Crypto −6 pts, n=1141Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—16% of 1141 at avg 22¢, ROI −4%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—74% (won 1% of 843)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 13% of 87)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 53% of 93)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—10% (won 97% of 118)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026blue.birdsFlaznorpndb1
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33K—Olympique de Marseille $3.3K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.4K—Under $23K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $255—Under $18K—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $120—Under $8.8K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.8K—Over $3.6K—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K—Daniel Milavsky $624—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Under $2.7K—
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Luisina Giovannini $1—Bianca Andreescu $2.9K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $229—KKS Lech Poznań $2.6K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Over $406—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $150—Under $2.4K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $112K—Taylor Fritz $14K—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $24K—Filip Misolic $4.0K—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $22K—Under $4.6K—
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
same side · consensus AC Sparta Praha
AC Sparta Praha $10K—AC Sparta Praha $13K—
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $13K—Ferencvárosi TC $7.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $13K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.9K—Under $6.9K—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $907—Under $2.3K—
Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)
same side · consensus NK Celje
NK Celje $325—NK Celje $2.7K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $240—Under $2.1K—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $769—
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $514—
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $319—Under $318—