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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1Vale54holi
Record (consensus markets)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)28% (316–822, n=1138)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M$30K
Tracked asPM monthly #131PM monthly #53PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #121
Sides with the consensus64% (21 of 33 open)0% (0 of 1 open)56% (61 of 109 open)86% (6 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)52% (won 3% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)7% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)35% (won 95% of 172)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1Vale54holi
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $30K—Over $36—
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
Illinois $6.5KNebraska $2.0K——
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Spurs $7.7K—Kings $238—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Leyre Romero Gormaz $5.4K—Julia Riera $1.4K—
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $3.1K—Kimmer Coppejans $184—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Francesco Maestrelli $1.3K—Carlo Alberto Caniato $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.0K—Wizards $116—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $1.9K—Hornets $237—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $2.5K—Juan Bautista Torres $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $1.4K—Cavaliers $107—
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Juan Carlos Prado $102—Juan Carlos Prado $102—