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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
11122beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)32% (464–1001, n=1465)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$656K$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus81% (137 of 169 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −12 pts, n=66NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won31% of 1672 at avg 30¢, ROI −1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢66% (won 4% of 1099)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 39% of 94)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 62% of 102)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 377)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market11122beachboy4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1KYes $4.2K