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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 11122 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (464–1001, n=1465) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $656K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (144 of 174 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −12 pts, n=66 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 31% of 1672 at avg 30¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 66% (won 4% of 1099) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 39% of 94) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 62% of 102) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 377) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 11122 | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | Yes $4.2K | — | — |