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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 123987456 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (1528–2073, n=3601) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | $49K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (28 of 42 open) | 88% (130 of 148 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=197 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 2839 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 4% of 1214) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 49% of 198) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 201) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 96% of 1226) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 123987456 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $14 | Yes $18K | — |