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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 12xmrbolt | RN1 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (231–293, n=524) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$11K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #941 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | MMA −2 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 507 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 14% of 123) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 37% of 176) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 62% of 143) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 65) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 12xmrbolt | RN1 | CORGII | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika opposite sides · consensus Omar Jasika | Omar Jasika $98 | Kasidit Samrej $4.8K | — | — |