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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1lovejump00gringo00RN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)64% (61–34, n=95)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$98K$3.5M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #982was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +18 pts n=352, ROI −1%
none with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=57——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won96% of 418 at avg 80¢, ROI −1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 20% of 5)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 80% of 20)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 96% of 67)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 98% of 326)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1lovejump00gringo00RN1beachboy4
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $1.0K—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $55K—
Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August Holmgren
same side · consensus August Holmgren
August Holmgren $317—August Holmgren $2.6K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
Carol Young Suh Lee $116—Carol Young Suh Lee $39—