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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 20YrsOfBoredom | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (499–742, n=1241) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $11.0M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 57% (64 of 113 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=415 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 36% of 879 at avg 37¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 5% of 459) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 36% of 85) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 62% of 94) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 84% of 241) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 20YrsOfBoredom | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $9 | Yes $40K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $4 | Yes $38K | — |