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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 2829 | sainttroplay | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (462–536, n=998) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$36K | $4.4M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #604 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 50% (9 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −15 pts, n=17 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 762 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 19% of 144) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 41% of 214) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 70% of 258) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 89% of 146) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 2829 | sainttroplay | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 32.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $598 | — | — | Over $5.8K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.7K | — | — | Over $22 |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $263 | — | — | Rams $4 |