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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2HAEBreakTheBankndb1RememberAmalek
Record (consensus markets)86% (6–1, n=7)96% (291–13, n=304)52% (102–94, n=196)70% (143–62, n=205)
Consensus PnL$572$8.4M$2.7M$494K
Tracked asPM monthly #890PM monthly #1PM monthly #111PM monthly #149
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position82% (36 of 44 open)74% (66 of 89 open)54% (83 of 154 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market2HAEBreakTheBankndb1RememberAmalek
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $41K—Yes $75K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $425KNo $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28K—Yes $383