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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 4qfrankie | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (88–129, n=217) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | $82K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −11 pts, n=32 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 252 at avg 53¢, ROI +15% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 33% of 18) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 64% of 101) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 71% of 90) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 98% of 43) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 4qfrankie | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | Yes $903 |