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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6512395314597884RN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (1677–1562, n=3239)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)46% (131–154, n=285)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$13.4M$19.1M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #474PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)94% (15 of 16 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 10% of 471)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 41% of 615)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 71% of 722)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 90% of 436)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6512395314597884RN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188CORGII
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $4.3KAlejandro Tabilo $59——