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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 6512395314597884 | RN1 | CORGII | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (1675–1561, n=3236) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $14.8M | $194K | -$6.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #474 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 58% (29 of 50 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 10% of 471) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 41% of 615) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 71% of 722) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 90% of 436) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 6512395314597884 | RN1 | CORGII | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $116 | 76ers $669 | — | — |
| Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $59 | Over $272 | — | — |