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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6512395314597884RN1CORGII0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)52% (1675–1561, n=3236)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (395–248, n=643)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$11K$14.8M$194K-$6.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #474PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)58% (29 of 50 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won54% of 2244 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 10% of 471)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 41% of 615)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 71% of 722)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 90% of 436)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6512395314597884RN1CORGII0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $11676ers $669——
Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $59Over $272——