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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 8m1 | classified | denizz | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 26% (29–82, n=111) | 57% (34–26, n=60) | 97% (214–6, n=220) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $783K | $1.1M | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #341 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #108 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 68% (19 of 28 open) | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 8m1 | classified | denizz | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $12 | No $40K | — |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.3K | Yes $25K | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $225 | Yes $10K | — |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | No $249K | — |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $469 | No $1.7K | — |