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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ARocky33 | sainttroplay | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (3997–1101, n=5098) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $108K | $4.4M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #362 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 64% (21 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2412 at avg 75¢, ROI +14% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 47% of 114) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 68% of 203) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 80% of 411) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 70% (won 94% of 1684) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ARocky33 | sainttroplay | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $14 | — | — | Under $9.2K |
| Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $92 | — | — | Over $20 |