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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | joseph00677 | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 96% (3970–187, n=4157) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) |
| Consensus PnL | -$14K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #863 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #74 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (38 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (111 of 152 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Finance −2 pts, n=112 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 12% of 33) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 46% of 41) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 50) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 91% (won 99% of 1245) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | joseph00677 | ndb1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $627 | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $495 | — | Yes $525 | — |