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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (437–423, n=860) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $94K | $3.3M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #632 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 54% (37 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 141) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 39% of 339) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 203) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 157) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $85K | — |