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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsernamesainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)72% (4236–1655, n=5891)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$459K$4.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus90% (111 of 123 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position81% (58 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 5270 at avg 56¢, ROI +7%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 285)0%0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 1965)50% (won 100% of 5)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 1803)50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 100% of 1217)0%0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsernamesainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $18K——Yes $36K
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $34K——Commanders $1.0M
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $5.0K——No $622K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11K——Yes $14K