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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AppleTiimeBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)48% (211–228, n=439)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)
Consensus PnL-$23K$7.6M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #488PM monthly #3PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)89% (32 of 36 open)68% (106 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +4 pts n=68, ROI +4%
  • NHL +6 pts n=30, ROI +2%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCollege Football −10 pts, n=63—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won46% of 428 at avg 47¢, ROI −1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 17% of 46)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 42% of 159)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 56% of 220)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 67% of 3)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAppleTiimeBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $4.1K—Alexandra Eala $6.3K